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The American Voice Institute of Public Policy Blogs the Issues!

Thursday, June 8, 2017

Trump Dumps UN Global Warming Climate Agreement

  By Joel P. Rutkowski, Ph.D., President

On Thursday, June 1, 2017, President Donald J. Trump formally announced that United States would be withdrawing from the United Nations “Paris Agreement” on alleged anthropogenic (man-made)  global warming.  The Paris Agreement will devastate the economies of the West, in particular, the U.S., while leaving the fastest growing emitters of CO2 — namely, Communist China and India — exempt.

United Nations “Paris Agreement” Is Unconstitutional

When President Donald J. Trump formally announced that United States would be withdrawing from the United Nations “Paris Agreement” he put the world on notice that no President can unilaterally commit  the U.S. to such far-reaching agreements.

The Constitution is very clear that unless ratified by the Senate no treaty is binding on the US government.  For example, the Senate rejected on a 95-0 vote the Kyoto Protocol, a 1997 anti-warming treaty.  And except that his negotiators shaped an “agreement” that would not go to the Senate the Paris deal that President Obama signed in 2016 would have also been defeated.  (1)

“The Little Ice Age”

As the world left “The Little Ice Age,” it began too warm up in the last 150 years. The evidence is thin that human produced CO2 is the cause of this warming that relies heavily on more than 70 mathematical models, none of which can even back-cast past temperatures, much less forecast future ones.  (2)

Furthermore, compromised is the temperature data.  There is now little question that much of what passes for science is really fraud since the data has been manipulated so many times by pro-global warming scientists.  Ignored is the fact that the most reliable temperature data, which come from satellites, show unequivocally no warming since 1998. And to mitigate global temperatures by a mere 0.17 of a degree by 2100 the 200 signatories to this so-called accord would spend trillions of dollars annually.

By the end of the century, the main global warming models predict as much as two degrees of warming.  Put in perspective, literally trillions of dollar will be spent annually for 1.8 degrees of warming instead of 2 degrees of warming.

From a cost-benefit perspective this makes no sense especially since many agriculture experts say that if the climate warms — for whatever reason — it will  increase crop yields and help feed the two billion or so additional individuals likely living on Earth by 2100.  Furthermore, despite spending over $1.2 trillion on green subsidies of various types Europe's CO2 emissions have continued to increase indicated a 2016 report. On the other hand, since peaking in 2007, U.S. emissions declined 12.2 percent.  America is reducing more CO2 per capita than any major nation because of fracking and other new technologies.

Redistribution of Wealth Scam

The fraudulent Paris Accords is being pursued with such intense, even fanatical, political energy by bureaucrats and government officials wanting to keep their power as disenchantment with corrupt and bad governance sweeps the globe. They are using the false catastrophe of global warming as a means to confiscate massive amounts of money and near total control over everyone's lives. For example, as Britain's Independent reported a new report by 13 economists, all global warming true believer called for a $4 trillion global carbon tax “to avoid dangerous climate change.” (3)  A carbon tax of that magnitude would cripple the global economy making billions of people poorer.

In May in Bonn Germany, at a global warming conference, conferees called for $300 billion to be given annually to help them deal with the effects of warming. (4).  Unfortunately, this is a massive income-transfer scheme from rich nations to poor nations concocted by socialist climate planners.

Final Thoughts

Contrary to global warming proponents there is no evidence of a looming temperature crisis.  Since the early 2000s surface temperature have been roughly flat.  And very similar are the satellite data (record).  Since the late 19th century the record of temperature anomalies does not correlate well with increasing greenhouse gas concentrations.  For example, how is the warming from 1910 through roughly 1940 explained by emission reduction proponents?  (5)

The recent temperature record has been overestimated by almost all of the climate models.  The earth from about 1850 has continued to emerge from the Little Ice Age and global temperatures appear to be on a long-term upward trajectory, but the degree to which that trend is man-made is far from clear.  In the scientific literature the degree to which warming from 1977-1998 was anthropogenic is unsettled. And in its fifth assessment report (AR5) the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reduced its estimated range of the effect in 2100 of a doubling of greenhouse-gas concentrations from 2.0-4.5 to 1.5-4.5 degrees Celsius.

Regarding increasing greenhouse-gas concentrations there is little evidence of serious climate effects attendant upon.  Since the early 1990s increases in sea levels have been roughly constant at about 3.3 millimeters annually. And between sea levels and the El Niño/South Oscillation there appears to be a close correlation.  Inconsistent with the global warming proponents crisis view the data presented in the IPCC AR5 for the 20th century the increase for the last 8,000 years in the sea levels appear to have been more or less constant.

Inconclusive is the date on the Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice extents. For example, relative to the 1981-2010 average, in recent years the Arctic sea ice crudely is at or below the bottom of the 95 percent confidence interval surrounding that mean.  However, 2017 Arctic sea ice is at the same level as in 2006 the newest date shows. And for the Antarctic, the confidence interval for recent years are above or at the top. The eastern Antarctic ice sheet (about two-thirds of the continent) is gaining mass, indicates some evidence. Furthermore, as a whole there is a net gain for the continent despite the western ice sheet and the peninsula are losing mass. And in the per-reviewed literature there does not appear to be an accepted explanation for this phenomenon.

Since 1954 there has been no trend in total U.S. tornado activity, and in strong-to-violent tornadoes a declining trend.  Since the early 1970s there has been no trend in the frequency of global hurricanes,  no trend in the frequency of  tropical cyclones, and no trend in tropical accumulated cyclone energy (crudely, the destructiveness of cyclones and the cyclone season).  However, there has been an increase in accumulated cyclone energy in 2016 to the level observed in 2006. Since 1985 the annual number of U.S. wildfires shows no trends.  Also, since 1985 the Palmer Drought Severity Index shows no trend.  And between U.S. flooding and increasing greenhouse-gas concentrations there is no correlation. Furthermore, deeply dubious about the various severe effects often hypothesized (or asserted) as future impacts of increasing greenhouse-gas concentrations is the IPPC in the AR5. 

Some 30,000 U.S. scientists including several of the U.S.'s top climatologists, at least two Nobel Prize winning physicists, four NASA astronauts and more than 9,000 PHDs have signed a petition saying that “the human-caused global warming hypothesis is without scientific validity.” (6) Growing is the “Global Warming Petition Project” that has 31,487 signers which “strongly rejects as unproven the hypothesis of man-made global warming or climate change.”  Tragically, global warming is one of the greatest scientific and political frauds ever perpetrated.  What  President Donald J. Trump did by planning on leaving the Paris Agreement is too unsaddle the economy-killing regulations that would have destroyed America's prosperity and cost hundreds of billions of dollars annually for nothing in return.  The President should be applauded for doing what is right for America constitutionally, economically and scientifically.  

End Notes: 

1.    In ditching Paris deal, Trump does right by America and the world   

2.    By Leaving Paris Climate-Change Deal, Trump Will Do U.S. Economy A 'Yuuuge' Favor 

3.    Climate change: $4 trillion carbon tax is needed to save humanity from global warming, say economists 

4.    Innovative finance needed to find $300 billion a year for climate losses 

5.    Leaving Paris: One and a Half Cheers for President Trump   

6.    Settled science: Growing petition of 31,487 U.S. scientists reject global warming hypothesis

 

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