The threat of long-range missiles reaching
American soil is escalating into the most dangerous security threat
facing this nation. First and foremost, this threat comes from long-range
missiles already possessed by Russia and China. It involves both the
potential for accidental or unauthorized launches as well as the possibility
of their intentional use. Weapons of mass destruction (including nuclear,
biological, and chemical weapons) and ballistic missile delivery systems
are possibly being developed or possessed by some 20 Third World nations.
Iran, Iraq and North Korea are included in this list of nations stockpiling
such weapons.
Already deployed on ballistic missiles,
China may have more than 300 nuclear warheads. The Chinese test fired
a 5,000 mile range DF-31 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM)
on August 2, 1999. As early as 2002, this missile could be ready for
deployment. China plans to convert the DF-31 into the Julang 2, a
submarine-launched ballistic missile (SLBM). An ICBM with a range
of 7,500 miles called the DF-41 which could be ready for deployment
by 2003-2005 is also being developed by China.
In fact, in a report released in September
1999, the National Intelligence Council concluded:
"We project that during the next
15 years, the United States most likely will face ICBM threats from
Russia, China and North Korea probably from Iran and possibly from
Iraq."
Currently, millions of Americans would
die and millions more would be wounded within minutes if Russia or
China launched even a small portion of their missile arsenals at the
United States.
To meet this clear and growing threat,
the enactment of the National Missile Defense Act of 1999 was a first
step in adapting the U.S. military's priorities. Unfortunately, President
Clinton deferred a decision to his successor after a year of high
profile anxiety about whether to comply with last year's congressional
directive to deploy a national missile defense (NMD) as soon as technologically
feasible.
The American Voice Institute of Public
Policy favors the upgrades of existing Aegis equipped cruiser's (Navy
ships) to enable them to counter ballistic missiles. At a cost of
approximately $3 billion, 22 of these Aegis equipped cruisers could
be upgraded. The deployment of the Space-Based Infrared System CSBIRS
sensor satellite constellation currently under development would augment
the system. As early as 2004 - with several ground-based intercepter
sites not under development, these deployments could be undertaken
concurrently.
Furthermore, the American Voice Institute
of Public Policy supports later deployment of a combination of space-based
interceptors (a program cancelled by the Clinton Administration) and
space-based lasers, (a program hobbled by Administrative policy).
Both affordable and achievable this plan would create effective tools
for deploying missile defense.